![]() ![]() However, war plan development is a complex bureaucratic process involving many stakeholders, so revising assumptions and requirements takes time and effort. For example, war plans involving Russia might be modified in the near- and mid-term to account for the degradation of Russia’s capabilities as a result of the war in Ukraine. Decisionmakers could adjust assumptions and thereby free up additional inventory to send to Ukraine. Judgments about risk arise from assumptions about the length and intensity of the conflict, the role of allies and partners, and the nature of the threat. For some munitions, the driving war plan would be a conflict with China over Taiwan or in the South China Sea for others, particularly ground systems, the driving war plan would be North Korea or Europe. Because of its ties to states, the National Guard has strong representation in Congress and has historically been reluctant to accept any policy that implies second-class status.įor munitions, the United States needs to maintain stockpiles to support war plans. Furthermore, there is a political challenge: most of these late-deploying units are in the National Guard. Unit training would be more difficult without a complete set of equipment, and mobilization might be slowed due to the cross-leveling process. Because the units are late deploying, there would be enough time to redistribute assets. In the unlikely event of a major conflict, these units could get additional systems from overhead or new production. ![]() Army could temporarily equip some artillery batteries with four howitzers instead of the customary six or eight. In theory, the United States could take some systems from late-deploying units. The Risks of Weapons Drawdownįor weapons, inventory concerns arise because the United States needs to have enough systems to equip operational units and an amount for maintenance pipelines and training organizations. The key judgment for both munitions and weapons is how much risk the United States is willing to accept. inventories are reaching the minimum levels needed for war plans and training. In most instances, the amounts given to Ukraine are relatively small compared to U.S. The United States has given Ukraine dozens of different munitions and weapon systems. ![]()
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